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Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.
Despite the fiscal headlines, the outlook for 2014 is gradually improving. Although political difficulties over the US budget and debt ceiling will curtail US growth in Q4, we remain optimistic about the growing strength of the US economy.
The shift in the timing of the Federal Reserve ratcheting back asset purchases within its ‘QE’ programme to the end of 2013 / early 2014 has buoyed sentiment and narrowed risk aversion globally in the short-term, but when the Federal Reserve again considers reining in asset purchases and the federal debt ceiling is tested again, there will be a return of risk aversion globally.
Meanwhile, new sources of potential financial-system risks are emerging from highly leveraged corporates in China and South Korea. Although we have upgraded the global outlook for 2014, substantial risks persist.
This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest country risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks